And then there are the more obvious disadvantages. There has never been a single black woman president in the history of the United States.It's not at all obvious to me that this is a disadvantage. Indeed, it seems to me to be a rather signifcant factor in her favor. Particularly the fact that she is black. The Democrats hold a virtual monopoly on black votes, which is one of the only things that keeps them competitive. In 2004 Bush managed to get just 11% of all the votes cast by black people, yet still he was able to win the election.
It seems to me that, of all people, Condi Rice stands the greatest chance of actually breaking this monopoly which, if done, would virtually ensure the defeat of whatever candidate the Democrats put up.
That said, Beale is probably correct in betting against Condi running.